Pewter Plank’s Week 4 Picks

Detroit @ Chicago

  • Bears team is starting to hit its stride.  Sorry Lions fans.
  • Prediction – Bears 24 Lions 10
  • Line – Bears -10, O/U 38.5

Cincinnati @ Cleveland

  • The Browns players already quit on Eric Mangini.   Long year ahead for the Browns.
  • Prediction – Bengals 31 Browns 7
  • Line – Bengals -5.5, O/U 38

Oakland @ Houston

  • Is Jamarcus the worst QB you have ever watched?
  • Prediction – Houston 17 Raiders 7
  • Line – Texans -9, O/U 42.5

Seattle @ Indianapolis

  • Manning looks MVP caliber right now, and the Seahawks are banged up again.
  • Prediction – Colts 28 Seahawks 14
  • Line – Colts -10.5, O/U 44

Tennessee @ Jacksonville

  • Jags have the unfortunate matchup against a good team desperate for a win.
  • Prediction – Titans 17 Jags 7
  • Line – Titans -3, O/U 44

New York (G) @ Kansas City

  • One of the best teams in the league vs one of the worst.
  • Prediction – Giants 24 Chiefs 0
  • Line – Giants -9, O/U 42

Baltimore @ New England

  • Best game of the week.  If Baltimore is the best team in the league (which I think they are) then this is a big of a statement game as there ever could be, especially in week 4.
  • Prediction – Ravens 28 Patriots 24
  • Line – Pats -1, O/U 44.5

Tampa Bay @ Washington

  • Grossest game of the week, and that hurts to say.  I want to pick the Bucs to win, but bad teams don’t win on the road.  If we are to pick up a win though, this looks like one of the few we might be able to take.
  • Prediction – Redskins 21 Bucs 17
  • Line – Skins -9, O/U 37

Buffalo @ Miami

  • Two vastly underachieving teams at this point in the year.  TO has 0 catches last week, for real?  Chad Henne?  Increased Wildcat for the Dolphins?  The injuries to the Bills secondary put a real damper on their season.
  • Prediction – Dolphins 28 Bills 10
  • Line – Bills -1, O/U 37

New York (J) @ New Orleans

  • 2nd best game of the week.  A real test for the Jets vaunted pass D.  Should be exciting.
  • Prediction – Jets 21 Saints 20
  • Line – Saints -7, O/U 45

Dallas @ Denver

  • First real test for the Broncs, but at least they get them at home.  Broncos D is definitely underrated.
  • Prediction – Cowboys 21 Broncos 10
  • Line – Cowboys -3, O/U 42.5

St Louis @ San Francisco

  • Good team at home versus a bad team on the road.  Wrap it up.
  • Prediction – Niners 28 Rams 7
  • Line – Niners -9, O/U 37.5

San Diego @ Pittsburgh

  • Big game for both teams.   Look for Pitt to pound the hell of out of the ball up the middle vs a Jamal Williamsless Chargers.
  • Prediction – Steelers 24 Chargers 14
  • Line – Pittsburgh -6.5, O/U 43.0

Green Bay @ Minnesota

  • Could we ask for a more storyline filled Monday Night Game.  These are two of the top 3 teams in the NFC, should be a dandy.
  • Prediction – Vikings 28 Packers 21
  • Line – Vikings -3.5, O/U 45

If You Know…Betting Were Legal

* One little caveat that I didn’t tell you before last week.  I  make my own game predictions, then look at the lines and take anything that is vastly different, either with the line or the O/U.

Last Week 6 and 5.

Raiders/Texans Under 42.5

Bengals -5.5

Titans/Jags Under 44

Giants -9

Dolphins +1

Jets +7

Cowboys -3

Cowboys/Broncos Under 42.5

Niners -9

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  • Prashant

    I agree with most of the picks but I have to strongly disagree with your prediction in the jets/saints game. I don’t think you hold the Saints to 20 points at home, the Jets D are solid and up and coming, however that Saints offense is serious. My prediction 31-17 Saints.

    I’m also skeptical of the Dolphins winning against the Bills this week. The bills loss against the pats week 1 was basically a win for them in my book. The saints went there and destroyed them but again you’re talking about one of the best offenses in the league. Miami is gonna end the worst team in the AFC east. My prediction 20-13 Bills.

  • Dustin Staggers

    As far as the Bills are concerned, losing Donte Whitner and Leodis McKelvin in the same week to the IR is as big of a loss as a team can have. They are their two best defensive players, bar none. I don’t love the Dolphins offense by any means, but evolving troubles on offense for the Bills plus those D losses and hence my pick. The Browns are the worst team in the AFC and the league, without question.

    As far as the Jets game is concerned, the Saints scored 27 last week vs the Bills D, which is nowhere near the caliber of D of the Jets.

    But….

    The Jets, Vikings and Pats game are all coin flip type games. 6 good teams.

  • http://PewterPlank Dustin Staggers

    A pedestrian 1 game over .500 on my picks against the spread.

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