The Buccaneers come in to Week 4 winless, but that doesn’t mean we are when it comes to making money on our favorite team. That’s right, we broke the spell last week and correctly gave you a winner. Yeah sure, I still failed miserably picking against the spread, but we nailed that under with ease.
So now it’s on to this week where I feel confident for the first time that we will get both. The Buccaneers are 2.5 point favorites in the game, and the total is 40.5
Let’s start with the game itself. Take the Buccaneers. The cards are all lined up this week for our Bucs to break the spell and get their first victory. The Cardinals are traveling all the way from Arizona to play an early game. The Buccaneers are fired up to have a new QB at the helm. And the Cardinals biggest weapon, Larry Fitzgerald, should spend all afternoon on an island aptly named after Darrelle Revis.
It just looks good for the Bucs in this game and that two and a half points shouldn’t be enough to scare you away. I actually expect the Buccaneers to win this game by six or more so if you can sell some points and get a little better pay, it might be worth the risk.
The other reason the points don’t scare me. Mike Glennon. I really don’t see this being a game in which the Buccaneers can win close. If it’s a close game down the stretch either the defense will save Glennon or the Buccaneers will lose. It’s a lot to expect of him to come in and lead a game winning drive on his first ever start. Freeman did it years ago against Green Bay, but we all know how that ended up turning out.
As for the total, you almost have no choice but to take the under. I would be surprised if one team makes it to 20 points in this game let alone both. The only thing that scares me about the under is the fact that both defenses have players that can score touchdowns. From Patrick Peterson to Tyrann Mathieu to Mason Foster and Darrelle Revis, a defensive touchdown could kill our bet.
It’s worth the risk though. This one should stay in the teens. And quite frankly it’s more likely that Glennon is awful and the Buccaneers don’t score than he lights it up and drops 30 points on this solid Arizona defense.