Oct 13, 2013; Tampa, FL, USA; Philadelphia Eagles inside linebacker DeMeco Ryans (59) tackles Tampa Bay Buccaneers running back Doug Martin (22) during the second half at Raymond James Stadium. Philadelphia Eagles defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31-20. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Why It Makes Sense For the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to Trade Running Back Doug Martin


Editor’s note: There is no news attached to this story. It is simply the advancement of a conversation started on Twitter. It is an opinion piece, and nothing more.

By all accounts, Doug Martin is a tremendous person with a likable personality. He’s also a fantastic athlete with breakaway speed, short stature, balance, and explosive power. This makes him a thoroughly entertaining player to watch, especially as he torched defenses during his rookie season in the NFL.

But 2013 served as a sobering reminder that even the best running backs in the league cannot carry an offense on their own. And before Martin went down with a severe shoulder injury, he was posting disappointing numbers on a per carry basis. He was also disappointing as a receiver, dropping multiple passes and not providing a real threat out of the backfield.

So what if the Buccaneers were to accept trade offers for the talented young player? Similar to what the Cleveland Browns did with Trent Richardson, what would the Buccaneers do if presented with a trade offering a first round pick for their young tailback?

I doubt that it will ever happen, but if it did, I would encourage the Buccaneers to accept the trade.

At some point on Saturday morning, a discussion broke out on Twitter about this very topic. I believe the genesis of the conversation was this Tweet.

 

From there, it became a debate that sparked a lot of interest, because Martin is seen as one of the players who provides hope for the future for the Buccaneers.

But here are two reasons why the Buccaneers should entertain trade offers for the young runner.

Running Backs Can’t Carry Offenses On Their Own Like Elite Quarterbacks

No, the Buccaneers will not be able to obtain an elite quarterback in a trade for Doug Martin. Getting a new quarterback will likely happen with or without Martin on the roster. But 2013 provides multiple examples of why “elite” running backs just aren’t valuable on their own in the same way an elite quarterback is.

Consider the running backs for the three best offenses in football, according to Football Outsiders’ DVOA rankings:

Then consider the running backs for the top five offenses in rushing DVOA:

Now finally, let’s consider the “elite” running backs who currently play for offenses ranked in the bottom half of the NFL using DVOA:

Among the list of running backs for good offenses, only one (McCoy) is truly an elite talent.

Nov 3, 2013; Landover, MD, USA; Washington Redskins running back Alfred Morris (46) runs with the ball during the second quarter against the San Diego Chargers at FedEx Field. The Redskins defeated the Chargers 30-24. Mandatory Credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

Lacy and Morris are both talented young players who benefit from very good offenses, and neither required a draft choice within the top-60 selections in the NFL draft.

Obviously having a good quarterback is important to a team’s offense, but as shown above it’s important to the running game as much as it is to the passing game. Andrew Luck and Cam Newton are able to generate rushing yards on their own, and the threat of their passing ability opens up running lanes for mediocre talents at running back, as seen in the top DVOA rushing offenses and their running backs listed above.

Schemes, blocking, and even defense factor into the productivity of running backs, and their ability to have an impact on the offense. Today’s NFL is dictated by the schemes of the coaching staff and the performance of the quarterback. Very few teams find any degree of success without good coaching and good quarterback play.

Running the ball is important, as it keeps a defense honest and it can help hold a lead and chip away at the clock. But having an elite running back is not a prerequisite to success in the NFL.

Running backs have too much to depend on from their teammates. Apart from Adrian Peterson, who is even struggling a bit this season, it’s nearly impossible for even the most talented running back to overcome poor blocking, poor quarterbacking, and a bad offense. We saw that early this season with Doug Martin, and it justifies trading Martin if the right deal is made available.

Mike James showed that he was capable of carrying the load on offense in a small sample size, because he took part in well-designed plays with good blocking and execution. If James continues to show the vision and burst he has shown so far in his brief career, he would be more than sufficient at tailback for an offense led by a top rookie passer in a new offensive scheme in 2014.

The Opportunity of Another Draft Choice

The Buccaneers don’t have many holes on their roster. But where they do have holes, they require long-term solutions. Quarterback, tight end, and pass rusher are impact positions where the Buccaneers currently lack, and having an extra first-round pick in exchange for Doug Martin would allow them the chance to select two of those positions in the upcoming NFL Draft.

Knowing that Mike James is capable of doing the basics on offense, and having the security of bringing in another veteran rusher, or possibly adding another mid-to-late round choice in the draft, the Buccaneers could spend three of the top 40 picks in the draft snagging a quarterback like Teddy Bridgewater or Marcus Mariota, a pass rusher like Vic Beasley or Khalil Mack, and a tight end like Austin Seferian-Jenkins, Eric Ebron or Jace Amaro.

Those three potential additions could make a world of difference on Tampa Bay’s chances in 2014, and would make life for Mike James and the other running backs that much easier.

Doug Martin will be a welcome addition to the 2014 roster if he’s not traded (and let’s face it, he’s probably not going to be traded). But it would be foolish for the Buccaneers to simply hold onto him if an offer was made. If a new GM takes over in Tampa Bay and is offered a similar deal to the one given to the Browns for Trent Richardson, he should take it immediately and start planning for what would be an epic draft class.

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  • kingpin buc

    Yeah lets trade are 2nd best player for a unknown draft pick and see that pick get scrutinize…. This is by far the stupidest shit i read all season lets just trade all are good players for picks and see hpw it goes fucking idiots

  • Peder Wallenberg

    Are you kidding me? Trading him to “prepare for an epic draft class”? The point of the draft is to try to add great players to your team. Now that we succeeded in drafting an epic RB in Martin in the first round, we are supposed to trade him for the same round pick that we picked him in and then celebrate? The draft is a hit-or-miss so I think its redundant to trade away a first-round player who panned out, for new first round player who might bust. The only reason the Richardson deal went through is because he wasn’t living up to his potential in Cleveland and the Colts still believed in him. Martin IS LIVING UP TO HIS POTENTIAL. sheesh.

    • LeoTPP

      How is Martin epic? How is he living up to his potential? He wasn’t very good this season. He had a ton of opportunities and did nothing with them.

      He’s a talented guy, but he’s not good enough to do it all on his own. He proved that this year. He can’t carry the offense. That means he’s replaceable.

  • LeoTPP

    To the person who wrote the comment I deleted: Be respectful and watch your language. It’s fine to disagree. Peder did it well. You didn’t.

  • Underdog_Lefty

    No doubt this is a good, debatable conversational subject. What gives this fantasy trade idea legs is Mike James. I believe he has shown since he first suited up in pewter and red that he was just as good of a back as Martin. Now, with Martin on the IR, James has the opportunity to show that he is likely the best steal of the ’13 draft class. And of course if that happens, the “trade Martin” talk increases and he will become expendable if not next year, than certainly by the ’15 season.

    Food for thought though: with James showing he can be a No. 1 runner for the Bucs, wouldn’t it be absolutely tantalizing to go in to next season and see Martin & James share the carries once James establishes he’s legit? They could make quite the tandem while limiting the wear and tear on each.