Gambling On The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Miami Dolphins: Against the Spread and Over/Under

Oct 13, 2013; Tampa, FL, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers cheerleader dance as they wear pink in honor of breast cancer awareness against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during the second half at Raymond James Stadium. Philadelphia Eagles defeated the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 31-20. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

People, we’ve been hot recently. 6-2 in the last three of these articles. Here comes a couple more wins.

Tonight’s Monday Night Football game between the Buccaneers and the Dolphins stands with a total of 40.5 and Miami a 2.5 point favorite.

I am expecting this game to be ugly, and I mean really ugly. 40.5 is a ridiculously low number in the NFL, but with these two teams, it’s one we actually have a chance to take advantage of. With the Dolphins missing two starting offensive lineman after the Martin/Incognito fiasco, I like the Buccaneers chance to slow the Dolphins. On the other side, the Dolphins defense is one of the most underrated in the league. If you take away the drubbing they took at the hands of the Saints, the Dolphins haven’t allowed more than 27 points in another game this season.

Then if you take a look at their offense, they have not scored more than 23 all year. So those two combined make a 40 point game look very possible. Flip it over and take a look at the Bucs. Tampa’s biggest output on the year was last week in Seattle where they scored 24. Even with that game included the Buccaneer offense only averages 15.5 points per game. Add it all up, and we are looking at a game where neither team reaches the 20’s, and honestly it wouldn’t surprise me if one or the other doesn’t make it to double digits. Take the under.

Now for the game. There are two ways this bullying situation can affect the Dolphins. A) They come out angry and stick it to the Bucs. B) They are in complete dismay and can’t get it together. The common theme is to think it will be B, however, I think A is more likely. But it’s mainly about the defense. They have had to watch all of this go down, but other than wearing a Miami helmet, none of this has had anything to do with them. They will want to prove that this will not de-rail them, and the victim will be Mike Glennon and the Buc offense. A shutout is not out of the realm of possibility tonight.

I like the Dolphins, giving the points. The Buccaneers now know they have the inside track to the first overall pick, can’t see them ruining it a little more than 24 hours after they got it.

We are about to be 6-2 in three weeks. Let’s go.