The Buccaneers have now won two straight games. This of course coming off the disastrous two months in which they dropped all eight to start the season. So the question that must be asked is, who is this team in Week 12? Based on the spread and the total, Vegas isn’t exactly buying a Tampa turnaround yet, but are we?
The total on this game is 49 with the Lions favored by 9 points.
The best thing the Lions have going for them is Calvin Johnson. He’s become on of the best receivers not only in the current NFL, but he might be the most talented one of all time. The Buccaneers might just have the answer though, and his name is Darrelle Revis. But the way the Lions have been playing, in order to beat them you must not only take away Calvin, you have to account for Reggie Bush as well. There have been four games in which Johnson has not totaled at least 100 yards. Surprisingly, the Lions won all four of those games. On the flip side, there are four games in which Bush has not gained at least 100 yards from scrimmage. Detroit is 0-4 in those games.
So, we conclude. Even if the Bucs and Revis slow Megatron, that doesn’t kill the Lions. With Mason Foster out and Bush’s dynamic play ability both on the ground and through the air, I expect Bush to go for at least 100 total yards. Because of this, I see the Lions winning the game… and yes, by at least 9 points. Take Detroit -9.
On to the total. The Buccaneer offense has been better the past three weeks. Glennon has turned into a bonafide game manager and whoever gets the call at running back has seemed to be able to succeed. We’ll see more of that here. The Lions don’t have an answer for Vincent Jackson, and their stout D-Line is more of a pass rushing unit than run stoppers. I see the Bucs putting up 21-24 points. Seeing as I have the Lions winning by 9+, that means they’ll be in the 30′s. Play the over.
I was going to write a paragraph on the bottom about why I like the Bucs moneyline at +325. But then I realized, I’ve wasted enough of your hard earned money already this year, let’s just stick with the two that will pay.