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Buccaneers Round Table: Can the Bucs get on a winning streak?

By David Harrison

TAMPA, FL - NOVEMBER 12: Pregame views prior to kick-off between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the New York Jets on November 12, 2017 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images)
TAMPA, FL - NOVEMBER 12: Pregame views prior to kick-off between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the New York Jets on November 12, 2017 at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images) /
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ATLANTA, GA – NOVEMBER 12: Matt Ryan #2 of the Atlanta Falcons calls an audible during the first half against the Dallas Cowboys at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on November 12, 2017 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Daniel Shirey/Getty Images)
ATLANTA, GA – NOVEMBER 12: Matt Ryan #2 of the Atlanta Falcons calls an audible during the first half against the Dallas Cowboys at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on November 12, 2017 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Daniel Shirey/Getty Images) /

Sean Eck

I give the Buccaneers a >1% chance to win the next four games in a row.

It’s not impossible, but for the Bucs to win the next four games they have to beat three teams that are over .500 on the season, and three on the road.

First, they are headed to Miami which is the most winnable game left on their schedule, but it’s far from a guaranteed win.

Then they head to Atlanta to face the 5-4 Falcons who were in the Super Bowl last year and have started hitting their stride again after an early season three-game losing streak look to be the Falcons of last season.

The third game they have to travel to Green Bay in December, and we all know how poorly the Bucs play in the cold weather.  Even with no Aaron Rodgers the Packers are in the hunt for a playoff berth and have been playing solid football.

Lastly, they get the Lions at home who are currently in a three-way battle for the NFC North and are now on a two-game win streak.

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27%, That’s the chance the Buccaneers have to make the playoffs if they win their next four games in a row, then go 2-1 to finish the season. This is according to The Upshot simulator and is based on 22,000 simulations.  If they lose even one of these next four games their percentage drops to 18%.  If they split the next four games going 2-2 its less than a 2% chance of being in the playoffs.

With no Jameis Winston and an abysmal running game, it’s tough to imagine the Buccaneers coming close to the success they had at the end of last season.  I wish it would come to fruition, but this season we as Buccaneers fans might have to lick our wounds and prepare for the draft parties instead of Super Bowl parties.

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