After their Week 17 win over Tennessee, the Cowboys seemed to be sitting in the best spot in the NFC heading towards the Wild Card round, outside of Philadelphia of course. Dallas would roll in with a win over a rookie quarterback starting for their division rival and then face the winner of the NFC South, the worst division in football. Since then, Tom Brady and the Buccaneers finally found their offense against Carolina to clinch the division and Dallas looked bad in a loss to Washington and Sam Howell.
Dallas needs to bounce back in a big way and start looking like themselves soon because Brady can never be counted out. Let’s look at the odds for the Monday Night game of Super Wild Card Weekend.
Cowboys vs. Buccaneers Odds, Spread and Total
Tampa Bay and Dallas Betting Trends
Tampa Bay is 4-12-1 ATS
Dallas is 9-7-1 ATS
The Under is 11-6 in Tampa Bay’s games
Dallas is 0-4 ATS in last four playoff games
Underdog is 5-1 ATS in last six meetings
Cowboys vs. Buccaneers Prediction and Pick
Dallas and Tampa Bay played the first Sunday Night Football game of the year and now he’ll play the final Monday Night Football game of the season. Tom Brady is 7-0 against the Cowboys in his career with 15 touchdowns to five interceptions in those games. For everything that’s gone wrong this year, he’s still Tom Brady and this is the playoffs, there’s nobody in NFL history more familiar with this spot and that matters. Brady also found his groove with Mike Evans against Carolina. Evans finished Week 17 with 10 catches for 207 yards and three touchdowns. Unlocking the deep passing game is huge against Dallas, who can struggle with No. 1 receivers at times.
Back in Week 1, Evans had five for 71 and a touchdown, but it was the Leonard Fournette show in that game. If the running game and Playoff Lenny are any good at all, then I think Tampa Bay wins outright. Dallas is second in sack percentage on the season at 8.94%, but Micah Parsons only has 1.5 sacks over the last six games and across their last three they have a sack rate of 4.85%. That’s bottom 10 in the league over that stretch.
As a Steelers fan I’ve been tortured by Tom Brady for years, I’m never ever going to bet against him in the playoffs, especially as a home underdog.
Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change