With a new offensive coordinator, what could the Tampa Bay offense look like in 2025? The floor and ceiling could look very similar to last year, actually.
Grizzard has familiarity with the offense. He was Tampa Bay's passing game coordinator last year and helped Baker Mayfield have the best season of his career, throwing for 41 touchdowns.
On that note, let's start by looking at how Mayfield might perform in 2025.
Last season, he put together a career year. He scored 44 total touchdowns, just one off from the NFL lead. He earned MVP votes and led Tampa Bay to its first 10-win season since 2021. Mayfield looked like the real deal last year, and he can do it again in 2025.
The floor for Mayfield probably looks like his first two seasons in Cleveland. From 2018-2019, Mayfield averaged a 61.5% completion rate, 3,776 passing yards per season, 25 touchdowns per year and 18 interceptions. His passer rating was 85.9, and his record was 12-17.
At his worst, Mayfield was still able to move the ball downfield, but he struggled with turnovers and inaccuracy. If that version of Mayfield resurfaces in 2025, Tampa Bay will need to lean more on its defense.
However, the ceiling for Mayfield probably looks closer to his 2024 season. Last year, Mayfield was excellent, with a career-best 106.8 passer rating. Could he outdo himself in 2025? It's certainly possible. Entering his age thirty season, Mayfield is in the prime of his career. At his best, Mayfield could throw for 40 touchdowns, complete 70% of his passes, and limit himself to around 10 interceptions, the number he had in 2023.
If Mayfield can limit turnovers like he did in 2023 and throw for as many yards and touchdowns as he did in 2024, he will continue to be a star in this league.
Moving on to the Buccaneers' receiving corps, it should be another good year for Tampa Bay. It is hard to predict what Chris Godwin will do, considering his poor health, but what about Mike Evans?
The veteran receiver has the opportunity to break the all-time NFL record for most 1,000-yard seasons in a row. Chances are, he will get there. Evans has displayed a level of consistency that very few receivers ever have. At his floor, he'll probably do what he did last year. Almost exactly 1,000 yards, around 75 receptions and 11 touchdowns.
At his ceiling, Evans can be a top-ten receiver in the league. Just two years ago, in 2023, Evans scored 13 touchdowns and averaged 15.9 yards per reception, going for a total of 1,255 yards. He can certainly replicate those numbers in 2025 if he can stay healthy.
Then there's Emeka Egbuka, Tampa Bay's rookie wide receiver, who will be looking to make a big impact in his first year with the Bucs. It is hard to predict exactly what Egbuka will do in 2025, because it's hard to know how much playing time he will get.
However, if Egbuka does get plenty of playing time, he has the potential to be the next great rookie wideout. He probably won't be the next Malik Nabers, but could he be the next Marvin Harrison Jr? Harrison caught over 800 yards in his rookie campaign and scored eight touchdowns. Egbuka, who came from the same collegiate program as Harrison Jr, could wind up with similar numbers when it's all said and done.
Tampa Bay's rushing attack will probably depend on the health of second-year running back Bucky Irving. If he does stay healthy, look for Irving to repeat his strong rookie season in 2024. He rushed for 1,122 yards and eight touchdowns, and added nearly 400 receiving yards to go with it.
It's hard to predict the floor for Irving because he was good from the minute he entered the league. Let's hope we don't have to see Irving's floor, because it probably means he is dealing with injuries.
At the end of the day, the NFL is a volatile league. But Tampa Bay's offense is stacked with talent and should be able to play to its potential in 2025.