Buccaneers vs. Falcons prediction, odds, spread, injuries, trends for NFL Week 14

A full betting preview for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers' Week 14 clash against the Atlanta Falcons.
Oct 26, 2023; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans (13) warms
Oct 26, 2023; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans (13) warms / Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will try to keep pace with the Atlanta Falcons in the NFC South as these two division rivals face off on Sunday. The Falcons opened as 2.5-point home favorites and defeated the Buccaneers earlier this season.

Atlanta is trying to take a commanding two-game lead in the NFC South after a hard-fought 13-8 road win over the New York Jets last week. As for the Buccaneers, they took down the Panthers 21-18, snapping their two-game losing streak. Tampa Bay still has a shot at the division title, but they must bring their A-game to Atlanta.

Below, we’ll break down this Week 14 NFC South battle and provide our best bet.

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Buccaneers vs. Falcons Odds, Spread and Total

Buccaneers vs. Falcons Betting Trends

  • The Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS on the road this season
  • The UNDER is 7-3 in Tampa Bay’s last 10 games
  • The Falcons are 2-4 at home this season
  • The OVER is 6-1 in Atlanta’s last seven home games against Tampa Bay

Buccaneers vs. Falcons Injury Reports

Buccaneers Injury Report

  • Lavonte David - LB - Questionable
  • Devin White - LB - Questionable
  • Jamel Dean - CB - Questionable
  • SirVocea Dennis - LB - Questionable
  • K.J. Britt - LB - Questionable

Falcons Injury Report

  • Kaleb McGary - OT - Questionable
  • Mike Hughes - CB - Questionable
  • Mack Hollins - WR - Questionable
  • Nate Landman - LB - Questionable
  • A.J. Terrell  - CB - Questionable

Buccaneers vs. Falcons How to Watch

  • Date: Sunday, Dec. 10
  • Game Time: 1 p.m. EST
  • Venue: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
  • How to Watch (TV): CBS
  • Buccaneers Record: 5-7
  • Falcons Record: 6-6

Buccaneers vs. Falcons Key Players to Watch

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Mike Evans: The star wide receiver turned in his 10th straight 1,000-yard receiving season on Sunday against the Panthers. Evans recorded seven receptions (12 targets) for 162 yards and a touchdown. The 30-year-old receiver has scored a touchdown in four straight games and will try to extend his streak against the Falcons. In Tampa Bay’s first meeting against Atlanta, he posted six receptions (eight targets) for 82 yards and a touchdown.

Atlanta Falcons

Desmond Ridder: Ridder didn’t have the best game on Sunday against the Jets, but it was good enough to secure the win. The second-year quarterback completed a season-low 44.4% of his passes for 121 yards and a touchdown. Even though Ridder was sacked three times, he didn’t have a turnover, which has been an issue for him this season. The Falcons will hope for a better performance on Sunday as they have a great opportunity to increase their lead in the NFC South.

Buccaneers vs. Falcons Prediction and Pick

The Buccaneers haven’t had the best luck on the road this season (2-4), but they are 5-1 ATS. Tampa Bay would love to avenge their loss from October against Atlanta, where the Falcons won 16-13, thanks to a game-winning field goal from Younghoe Koo.

The Buccaneers were outgained by the Falcons (401-329), but they had fewer turnovers (2) than Atlanta (3). However, it didn’t matter as Ridder made the necessary plays to get Atlanta into field goal position and didn’t turn over the ball.

As we look forward to Sunday, I could see a world where the Buccaneers go into Atlanta and win, especially if they can get David or White back. At the same time, the UNDER on the total might be the best play. 

In their last two wins, the Falcons are scoring 18.5 points per game and only allowing 11.5 points. Meanwhile, the Buccaneers are averaging 23.6 points per game in their last three road games. The UNDER has been king in Tampa Bay games lately, so I’ll lean towards that way.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.