Monday Night Football best prop bets for Eagles vs. Buccaneers in Wild Card Round (Target Rachaad White)

Breaking down the best prop bets for the Philadelphia Eagles-Tampa Bay Buccaneers first-round playoff matchup on Monday. 
Dec 31, 2023; Tampa, Florida, USA;  Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield (6) hands off to Rachaad White (1).
Dec 31, 2023; Tampa, Florida, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield (6) hands off to Rachaad White (1). / Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Eagles and Tampa Bay Buccaneers will meet in the Sunshine State coming off two contrasting finishes to the regular season. The Eagles, coming off an NFC Championship and trip to the Super Bowl, lost five of their final six games to cough up a division title and slip to the wild card. 

Tampa Bay, in its first year without Tom Brady under center, rallied from a 4-7 start to win five of its final six games and capture the NFC South crown for the third year in a row. 

This matchup is littered with injury questions for both teams. Eagles’ quarterback Jalen Hurts is dealing with an injured finger and Philadelphia’s top receivers A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith are banged up. Tampa Bay quarterback Baker Mayfield didn’t practice on Thursday. 

Despite the uncertainty, here are three props to consider when these two teams meet on Monday. 

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Eagles vs. Buccaneers best prop bets for Monday Night Football

  • D’Andre Swift OVER 60.5 rushing yards 
  • Mike Evans OVER 68.5 receiving yards
  • Rachaad White OVER 16.5 rush attempts

D’Andre Swift OVER 60.5 rushing yards

Tampa Bay’s defense is ranked No. 5 against the run this season, giving up just 95.3 yards per game on the ground. But Philadelphia still boasts a veteran-led offensive line and the Eagles have the No. 8 rushing attack in the NFL. Plus, with Hurts’ health up in the air, Philadelphia could lean more on its ground game. 

Swift, who eclipsed 1,000 yards in 15 games this season and five touchdowns, ended the season by going over this number in three consecutive games. He averaged 75.3 yards per game in that span. Earlier this season, Swift had one of his best games against the Buccaneers in Week 3 when he went for a season-high 8.13 yards per carry over 16 attempts. He finished with 130 yards in Philadelphia’s 25-11 primetime win.

Mike Evans OVER 68.5 receiving yards

For starters, Baker Mayfield is going to give Evans every opportunity to help move the Buccaneers down the field. Evans had 79 catches for 1,255 yards and 13 touchdowns this season and was targeted eight times per game. 

If the pocket holds up for the hobbled Mayfield, it’s a great matchup for Tampa Bay as the Eagles’ secondary has been a wide receiver’s dream this season. Philadelphia ranks 31st against the pass this season and you’d have to go back to the Eagles’ win over Kansas City on Nov. 20 to find the last game where Philadelphia didn’t allow a receiver to go over this number.

Over the final three weeks of the regular season, New York’s Wan’Dal Robinson, Darius Slayton and Arizona’s Greg Dortch averaged 85.6 receiving yards against Philadelphia. Before that, Philadelphia was vulnerable against top-tier wideouts like Stefon Diggs (74), Gabe Davis (105), Deebo Samuel (116), CeeDee Lamb (71) and DK Metcalf (78). 

Evans logged five catches for 60 yards and a touchdown against the Eagles in September, but Tampa Bay’s offense has clicked as the season’s gone on and Philadelphia’s defensive stock has dropped like a stone. 

Rachaad White OVER 16.5 rushing attempts

Philadelphia’s defense is still No. 10 in the NFL against the run, permitting just 103.4 yards per game. However, the Eagles went through a stretch to end the season where their defense went from elite against the run to putrid. 

Through Weeks 11-14, it was the first time since 2006 that the Eagles allowed 135-plus rushing yards in four consecutive games. The concerns against the run were still there at the end of the regular season when James Conner blasted the Eagles for 128 yards on 16 attempts to help Arizona stun Philadelphia as a 12-point underdog. 

White, who finished 10 yards shy of 1,000 on the ground this season, should get his opportunities to attack the Eagles in the trenches. White averaged 19.3 attempts over Tampa Bay's final six games and could see additional touches if Mayfield is in any way hampered by the ankle issue.

Odds are updated periodically and are subject to change.